Week 9 slate, 2013

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 55 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Wed, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Louisiana@Arkansas State

53%
47%

23
7

✓

UL −1.8

–

–

Thu, Oct 24

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Kentucky@Mississippi State

20%
80%

22
28

✓

MSST −12.8

–

–

Final

Marshall@Middle Tennessee

66%
34%

49
51

✗

MRSH −7.0

–

–

Sat, Oct 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 13 games

Final

#16Louisville@USF

92%
8.4%

34
3

✓

LOU −22.4

–

–

Final

#18Oklahoma State@Iowa State

75%
25%

58
27

✓

OKST −11.0

–

–

Final

Nebraska@Minnesota

62%
38%

23
34

✗

NEB −5.1

–

–

Final

Houston@Rutgers

47%
53%

49
14

✗

RUTG −0.6

–

–

Final

Ball State@Akron

78%
22%

42
24

✓

BALL −12.8

–

–

Final

UConn@#22UCF

2.8%
97%

17
62

✓

UCF −30.3

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Iowa

32%
68%

10
17

✓

IOWA −6.9

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@#14Miami (FL)

8.0%
92%

21
24

✓

MIA −22.1

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@#9Texas A&M

15%
85%

24
56

✓

TA&M −16.3

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@Virginia

76%
24%

35
25

✓

GT −11.7

–

–

Final

Pittsburgh@Navy

47%
53%

21
24

✓

NAVY −0.8

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Ohio

4.4%
96%

16
41

✓

OHIO −26.9

–

–

Final

Toledo@Bowling Green

38%
62%

28
25

✗

BGSU −4.5

–

–

Afternoon 20 games

Final

Western Michigan@UMass

46%
54%

31
30

✗

MASS −1.1

–

–

Final

Temple@SMU

28%
72%

49
59

✓

SMU −8.6

–

–

Final

NC State@#3Florida State

1.6%
98%

17
49

✓

FSU −34.0

–

–

Final

#19Clemson@Maryland

72%
28%

40
27

✓

CLEM −9.7

–

–

Final

Boston College@North Carolina

30%
70%

10
34

✓

UNC −7.7

–

–

Final

UTEP@Rice

13%
87%

7
45

✓

RICE −17.9

–

–

Final

Duke@Virginia Tech

28%
72%

13
10

✗

VT −8.9

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#1Alabama

4.7%
95%

10
45

✓

ALA −26.5

–

–

Final

Michigan State@Illinois

68%
32%

42
3

✓

MSU −7.8

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Kent State

52%
48%

41
21

✓

BUF −1.2

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Northern Illinois

2.6%
97%

20
59

✓

NIU −30.9

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Tulane

42%
58%

7
14

✓

TULN −2.7

–

–

Final

West Virginia@#25Kansas State

15%
85%

12
35

✓

KSU −16.2

–

–

Final

Utah@USC

37%
63%

3
19

✓

USC −4.7

–

–

Final

Troy@Western Kentucky

29%
71%

32
26

✗

WKU −8.5

–

–

Final

#23Texas Tech@#17Oklahoma

36%
64%

30
38

✓

OU −5.3

–

–

Final

Notre Dame@Air Force

88%
12%

45
10

✓

ND −19.0

–

–

Final

UAB@UTSA

32%
68%

31
52

✓

UTSA −6.9

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@FIU

64%
36%

23
7

✓

LT −6.3

–

–

Final

UNLV@NevadaUpset

25%
75%

27
22

✗

NEV −10.3

–

–

Prime time 10 games

Final

Wyoming@San Jose State

24%
76%

44
51

✓

SJSU −11.0

–

–

Final

#13South Carolina@#7Missouri

32%
68%

27
24

✗

MIZ −6.8

–

–

Final

South Alabama@Texas State

46%
54%

31
33

✓

TXST −1.0

–

–

Final

#4Baylor@Kansas

97%
3.1%

59
14

✓

BAY −30.3

–

–

Final

Georgia State@Louisiana-Monroe

9.7%
90%

10
38

✓

ULM −20.4

–

–

Final

#12UCLA@#2Oregon

15%
85%

14
42

✓

ORE −16.1

–

–

Final

North Texas@Southern Miss

85%
15%

55
14

✓

UNT −17.2

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@Auburn

12%
88%

10
45

✓

AUB −18.1

–

–

Final

Idaho@Ole Miss

0.4%
>99%

14
59

✓

MISS −42.2

–

–

Final

Texas@TCU

47%
53%

30
7

✗

TCU −0.8

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

Fresno State@San Diego State

68%
32%

35
28

✓

FRES −8.0

–

–

Final

#6Stanford@Oregon State

59%
41%

20
12

✓

STAN −4.2

–

–

Final

California@Washington

4.9%
95%

17
41

✓

WASH −26.1

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Boise State@#21BYU

30%
70%

20
37

✓

BYU −8.1

–

–

Sun, Oct 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

Colorado State@Hawaii

64%
36%

35
28

✓

CSU −6.0

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

Arizona@Colorado

84%
16%

44
20

✓

ARIZ −16.0

–

–

Final

Penn State@#10Ohio State

23%
77%

14
63

✓

OSU −11.2

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 26 · 7:00 PM ET	Furman at #5 LSU	LSU −51.3	>99%
Sun, Oct 27 · TBD	Abilene Christian at New Mexico State	Abilene Christian −0.2	49%