Week 9 slate, 2015

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 5 games

Final

#23North Carolina@Pittsburgh

57%
43%

26
19

✓

UNC −3.2

–

–

Final

West Virginia@#10TCU

27%
73%

10
40

✓

TCU −9.4

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan

88%
12%

58
28

✓

WMU −19.5

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Miami (OH)

83%
17%

29
24

✓

BUF −15.5

–

–

Final

Texas State@Georgia Southern

17%
83%

13
37

✓

GASO −14.5

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Oregon@Arizona State

50%
50%

61
55

✓

ORE −0.5

–

–

Fri, Oct 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Louisville@Wake Forest

82%
18%

20
19

✓

LOU −15.3

–

–

Final

East Carolina@UConn

68%
32%

13
31

✗

ECU −7.7

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Wyoming@Utah State

7.6%
92%

27
58

✓

USU −22.6

–

–

Sat, Oct 31

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 13 games

Final

#18Ole Miss@Auburn

58%
42%

27
19

✓

MISS −3.8

–

–

Final

South Carolina@#20Texas A&M

16%
84%

28
35

✓

TA&M −15.7

–

–

Final

Syracuse@#17Florida State

9.4%
91%

21
45

✓

FSU −20.7

–

–

Final

Illinois@Penn State

27%
73%

0
39

✓

PSU −9.4

–

–

Final

Nebraska@PurdueUpset

82%
18%

45
55

✗

NEB −15.4

–

–

Final

Rutgers@#25Wisconsin

12%
88%

10
48

✓

WIS −18.3

–

–

Final

Western Kentucky@Old Dominion

95%
5.3%

55
30

✓

WKU −26.3

–

–

Final

UCF@Cincinnati

9.2%
91%

7
52

✓

CIN −20.9

–

–

Final

USF@Navy

19%
81%

17
29

✓

NAVY −13.5

–

–

Final

Virginia Tech@Boston College

63%
37%

26
10

✓

VT −5.8

–

–

Final

UMass@Ball State

39%
61%

10
20

✓

BALL −3.9

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Akron

61%
39%

14
6

✓

CMU −4.9

–

–

Final

UTEP@Southern Miss

9.1%
91%

13
34

✓

USM −20.9

–

–

Afternoon 15 games

Final

Georgia Tech@Virginia

71%
29%

21
27

✗

GT −9.1

–

–

Final

#8USC@California

71%
29%

27
21

✓

USC −9.4

–

–

Final

Colorado@#19UCLA

7.9%
92%

31
35

✓

UCLA −22.2

–

–

Final

#21Georgiavs#14Florida

45%
55%

3
27

✓

FLA −1.6

–

–

Final

#4Clemson@NC State

80%
20%

56
41

✓

CLEM −13.6

–

–

Final

#3Oklahoma@Kansas

99%
0.6%

62
7

✓

OU −40.7

–

–

Final

#24Oklahoma State@Texas Tech

54%
46%

70
53

✓

OKST −2.2

–

–

Final

Maryland@Iowa

15%
85%

15
31

✓

IOWA −16.0

–

–

Final

Marshall@Charlotte

94%
6.1%

34
10

✓

MRSH −25.1

–

–

Final

FIU@Florida Atlantic

55%
45%

17
31

✗

FIU −2.6

–

–

Final

Boise State@UNLV

86%
14%

55
27

✓

BOIS −17.7

–

–

Final

San Diego State@Colorado State

56%
44%

41
17

✓

SDSU −2.9

–

–

Final

Troy@Appalachian State

7.5%
92%

41
44

✓

APP −22.7

–

–

Final

Tulsa@SMU

62%
38%

40
31

✓

TLSA −5.3

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Louisiana

22%
78%

24
30

✓

UL −11.6

–

–

Prime time 9 games

Final

Vanderbilt@Houston

16%
84%

0
34

✓

HOU −15.2

–

–

Final

Miami (FL)@Duke

35%
65%

30
27

✗

DUKE −5.6

–

–

Final

Oregon State@#15Utah

4.2%
96%

12
27

✓

UTAH −27.4

–

–

Final

Texas@Iowa State

69%
31%

0
24

✗

TEX −8.2

–

–

Final

#11Michigan@Minnesota

86%
14%

29
26

✓

MICH −17.4

–

–

Final

UTSA@North Texas

72%
28%

23
30

✗

UTSA −10.0

–

–

Final

Tulane@#22Memphis

2.2%
98%

13
41

✓

MEM −31.9

–

–

Final

Georgia State@Arkansas State

11%
89%

34
48

✓

ARST −19.5

–

–

Final

#12Tennessee@Kentucky

80%
20%

52
21

✓

TENN −13.6

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

#6Stanford@Washington State

87%
13%

30
28

✓

STAN −18.1

–

–

Final

Air Force@Hawaii

70%
30%

58
7

✓

AF −9.0

–

–

Final

Arizona@Washington

33%
67%

3
49

✓

WASH −6.6

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Louisiana Tech@Rice

72%
28%

42
17

✓

LT −9.7

–

–

Sun, Nov 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final

#9Notre Dame@Temple

77%
23%

24
20

✓

ND −12.2

–

–

Final

Idaho@New Mexico State

47%
53%

48
55

✓

NMSU −0.6

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 31 · 4:00 PM ET	UT Martin at Arkansas	Arkansas −54.2	>99%