Week 6 slate, 2000
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2
Chaos 48
Wilder than 48% of weeks in the archive.
13 upsets against 14.9 expected
- Biggest shockRichmond over Arkansas State7.9% chance · won 30-27
- Runner-upNorthwestern over Michigan State17% chance · won 37-17
- Runner-upLSU over Tennessee25% chance · won 38-31
Upsets
- Georgia 38, Arkansas 7#21 Arkansas lost to unranked Georgia
- Tennessee 31, LSU 38LSU won; the model gave them 24% before kickoff
- Illinois 10, Minnesota 44#24 Illinois lost to unranked Minnesota
- Northwestern 37, Michigan State 17Northwestern won; the model gave them 17% before kickoff
- USC 21, Oregon State 31#25 USC lost to unranked Oregon State
- Purdue 20, Penn State 22#14 Purdue lost to unranked Penn State
No games match.
Thu, Sep 28
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 2 games
Sat, Sep 30
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 48 games
Against FCS opponents
| When | Game | Model | Win |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 30 · TBD | Montana State at Idaho | Idaho −9.2 | 71% |
| Sat, Sep 30 · TBD | Richmond at |
Arkansas State −23.5 | 92% |
| Sat, Sep 30 · TBD | Troy at |
Troy −2.0 | 55% |
| Sat, Sep 30 · TBD | Texas State at |
Louisiana-Monroe −0.8 | 52% |