Week 9 slate, 2017

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 56 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 4 games

Final

Eastern Michigan@Northern Illinois

35%
65%

27
30

✓

NIU −5.7

–

–

Final

Toledo@Ball State

90%
10%

58
17

✓

TOL −20.8

–

–

Final

South Alabama@Georgia State

48%
52%

13
21

✓

GAST −0.2

–

–

Final

#14Stanford@Oregon State

96%
4.4%

15
14

✓

STAN −27.6

–

–

Fri, Oct 27

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Tulsa@SMU

28%
72%

34
38

✓

SMU −8.9

–

–

Sat, Oct 28

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 11 games

Final

Buffalo@Akron

35%
65%

20
21

✓

AKR −5.6

–

–

Final

Arkansas@Ole Miss

38%
62%

38
37

✗

MISS −4.5

–

–

Final

#11Oklahoma State@West Virginia

72%
28%

50
39

✓

OKST −9.9

–

–

Final

#25Texas@Baylor

78%
22%

38
7

✓

TEX −13.0

–

–

Final

#9Wisconsin@Illinois

96%
3.6%

24
10

✓

WIS −29.1

–

–

Final

Rutgers@#13Michigan

6.4%
94%

14
35

✓

MICH −24.0

–

–

Final

#17Miami (FL)@North Carolina

84%
16%

24
19

✓

MIA −16.4

–

–

Final

Louisville@Wake Forest

48%
52%

32
42

✓

WAKE −0.3

–

–

Final

Virginia@Pittsburgh

42%
58%

14
31

✓

PITT −2.9

–

–

Final

California@Colorado

45%
55%

28
44

✓

COLO −1.7

–

–

Final

FIU@MarshallUpset

12%
88%

41
30

✗

MRSH −18.3

–

–

Afternoon 22 games

Final

Kansas State@Kansas

94%
6.5%

30
20

✓

KSU −24.6

–

–

Final

Air Force@Colorado State

29%
71%

45
28

✗

CSU −8.5

–

–

Final

San Jose State@BYU

16%
84%

20
41

✓

BYU −15.3

–

–

Final

#6GeorgiavsFlorida

77%
23%

42
7

✓

UGA −12.1

–

–

Final

#12TCU@Iowa StateUpset

65%
35%

7
14

✗

TCU −6.7

–

–

Final

#23NC State@#4Notre Dame

19%
81%

14
35

✓

ND −13.4

–

–

Final

UCLA@#7Washington

14%
86%

23
44

✓

WASH −16.9

–

–

Final

Michigan State@Northwestern

48%
52%

31
39

✓

NU −0.1

–

–

Final

Indiana@Maryland

52%
48%

39
42

✗

IU −1.3

–

–

Final

#3Penn State@#2Ohio State

40%
60%

38
39

✓

OSU −3.6

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@Rice

81%
19%

42
28

✓

LT −14.5

–

–

Final

Appalachian State@UMassUpset

75%
25%

27
30

✗

APP −11.2

–

–

Final

Georgia Southern@Troy

6.9%
93%

16
38

✓

TROY −23.4

–

–

Final

Houston@USF

27%
73%

28
24

✗

USF −9.4

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@South Carolina

26%
74%

27
34

✓

SC −9.7

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@Western Kentucky

58%
42%

42
28

✓

FAU −3.6

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Idaho

50%
50%

23
31

✗

ULM −0.6

–

–

Final

Utah@Oregon

47%
53%

20
41

✓

ORE −0.6

–

–

Final

Texas State@Coastal Carolina

35%
65%

27
7

✗

CCU −5.7

–

–

Final

Missouri@UConn

77%
23%

52
12

✓

MIZ −12.1

–

–

Final

Minnesota@Iowa

31%
69%

10
17

✓

IOWA −7.3

–

–

Final

Old Dominion@North Texas

37%
63%

38
45

✓

UNT −4.7

–

–

Prime time 7 games

Final

UAB@Southern MissUpset

18%
82%

30
12

✗

USM −14.2

–

–

Final

#21Mississippi State@Texas A&M

55%
45%

35
14

✓

MSST −2.4

–

–

Final

Duke@#16Virginia Tech

19%
81%

3
24

✓

VT −13.8

–

–

Final

Tennessee@Kentucky

49%
51%

26
29

✓

TENN −0.2

–

–

Final

Nebraska@Purdue

40%
60%

25
24

✗

PUR −3.4

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Wyoming

48%
52%

3
42

✓

WYO −0.3

–

–

Final

#24Washington State@ArizonaUpset

65%
35%

37
58

✗

WSU −6.6

–

–

Late night 4 games

Final

Boise State@Utah State

73%
27%

41
14

✓

BOIS −10.1

–

–

Final

UNLV@Fresno StateUpset

14%
86%

26
16

✗

FRES −17.1

–

–

Final

#15USC@Arizona State

70%
30%

48
17

✓

USC −8.6

–

–

Final

San Diego State@Hawaii

85%
15%

28
7

✓

SDSU −17.1

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

#19Florida State@Boston CollegeUpset

75%
25%

3
35

✗

FSU −11.4

–

–

Final

Tulane@Memphis

21%
79%

26
56

✓

MEM −12.3

–

–

Sun, Oct 29

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final

Texas Tech@#10Oklahoma

15%
86%

27
49

✓

OU −16.5

–

–

Final

#22Georgia Tech@#5Clemson

22%
78%

10
24

✓

CLEM −12.1

–

–

Final

UTSA@UTEP

86%
14%

31
14

✓

UTSA −17.8

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@New Mexico State

72%
28%

37
21

✓

ARST −9.7

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 28 · 5:00 PM ET	Austin Peay at #18 UCF	UCF −57.0	>99%