Week 8 slate, 2017

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 56 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Louisiana@Arkansas State

13%
87%

3
47

✓

ARST −17.8

–

–

Fri, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Afternoon 1 game

Final

Western Kentucky@Old Dominion

73%
27%

35
31

✓

WKU −10.3

–

–

Prime time 2 games

Final

Marshall@Middle Tennessee

60%
40%

38
10

✓

MRSH −4.4

–

–

Final

Air Force@Nevada

73%
27%

45
42

✓

AF −10.4

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Colorado State@New Mexico

71%
29%

27
24

✓

CSU −9.4

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Memphis@Houston

43%
57%

42
38

✗

HOU −2.1

–

–

Sat, Oct 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 17 games

Final

Idaho@Missouri

18%
82%

21
68

✓

MIZ −13.9

–

–

Final

Iowa State@Texas Tech

50%
50%

31
13

✓

ISU −0.7

–

–

Final

#11Oklahoma State@#24Texas

64%
36%

13
10

✓

OKST −6.0

–

–

Final

Temple@Army

33%
67%

28
31

✓

ARMY −6.4

–

–

Final

Iowa@Northwestern

56%
44%

10
17

✗

IOWA −2.9

–

–

Final

Purdue@Rutgers

71%
29%

12
14

✗

PUR −9.2

–

–

Final

Maryland@#13Wisconsin

10%
90%

13
38

✓

WIS −19.8

–

–

Final

Louisville@#16Florida StateUpset

26%
74%

31
28

✗

FSU −9.7

–

–

Final

Tulsa@UConn

73%
27%

14
20

✗

TLSA −10.3

–

–

Final

Akron@Toledo

32%
68%

21
48

✓

TOL −6.8

–

–

Final

Pittsburgh@Duke

28%
72%

24
17

✗

DUKE −8.9

–

–

Final

Boston College@Virginia

33%
67%

41
10

✗

UVA −6.5

–

–

Final

Troy@Georgia State

70%
30%

34
10

✓

TROY −8.9

–

–

Final

Kent State@Ohio

19%
81%

3
48

✓

OHIO −13.3

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Bowling Green

79%
21%

48
17

✓

NIU −13.2

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan

61%
39%

20
17

✓

WMU −5.0

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Miami (OH)

45%
55%

14
24

✓

M-OH −1.6

–

–

Afternoon 18 games

Final

Central Michigan@Ball State

49%
51%

56
9

✗

CMU −0.2

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#1Alabama

2.3%
98%

7
45

✓

ALA −31.8

–

–

Final

Arizona State@Utah

37%
63%

30
10

✗

UTAH −4.8

–

–

Final

Indiana@Michigan State

36%
64%

9
17

✓

MSU −5.5

–

–

Final

Illinois@Minnesota

15%
85%

17
24

✓

MINN −16.4

–

–

Final

Syracuse@#17Miami (FL)

17%
83%

19
27

✓

MIA −14.7

–

–

Final

North Carolina@#20Virginia Tech

17%
83%

7
59

✓

VT −14.5

–

–

Final

Georgia Southern@UMass

42%
58%

20
55

✓

MASS −2.6

–

–

Final

#18UCF@Navy

74%
26%

31
21

✓

UCF −10.8

–

–

Final

Coastal Carolina@Appalachian State

4.4%
96%

29
37

✓

APP −26.9

–

–

Final

Kentucky@#25Mississippi State

28%
72%

7
45

✓

MSST −8.8

–

–

Final

Oregon@UCLA

45%
55%

14
31

✓

UCLA −1.4

–

–

Final

SMU@Cincinnati

76%
24%

31
28

✓

SMU −11.8

–

–

Final

#9Oklahoma@Kansas State

77%
23%

42
35

✓

OU −12.3

–

–

Final

North Texas@Florida Atlantic

30%
70%

31
69

✓

FAU −7.7

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@South Alabama

38%
62%

23
33

✓

USA −4.5

–

–

Final

Utah State@UNLV

53%
47%

52
28

✓

USU −1.6

–

–

Final

UAB@Charlotte

64%
36%

24
25

✗

UAB −6.3

–

–

Prime time 9 games

Final

Southern Miss@Louisiana Tech

43%
57%

34
27

✗

LT −2.3

–

–

Final

Rice@UTSA

12%
88%

7
20

✓

UTSA −18.8

–

–

Final

BYU@East Carolina

73%
27%

17
33

✗

BYU −10.2

–

–

Final

USF@Tulane

85%
15%

34
28

✓

USF −17.2

–

–

Final

#19LSU@Ole Miss

69%
31%

40
24

✓

LSU −8.5

–

–

Final

#12Auburn@Arkansas

84%
16%

52
20

✓

AUB −16.4

–

–

Final

#10USC@#7Notre Dame

41%
59%

14
49

✓

ND −3.0

–

–

Final

#8Michigan@#3Penn State

33%
67%

13
42

✓

PSU −6.5

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@#21Georgia Tech

34%
66%

24
38

✓

GT −6.0

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

Wyoming@Boise State

13%
87%

14
24

✓

BOIS −17.4

–

–

Final

Fresno State@San Diego State

31%
69%

27
3

✗

SDSU −7.4

–

–

Final

Colorado@Washington State

29%
71%

0
28

✓

WSU −8.2

–

–

Sun, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final

Kansas@#14TCU

0.6%
99%

0
43

✓

TCU −40.1

–

–

Final

West Virginia@Baylor

71%
29%

38
36

✓

WVU −9.4

–

–

Final

Arizona@California

49%
51%

45
44

✗

ARIZ −0.2

–

–