Week 8 slate, 2022

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Wed, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Georgia State@Appalachian State

26%
74%

17
42

✓

APP −9.6

–

–

Thu, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Virginia@Georgia Tech

47%
53%

16
9

✗

GT −0.7

–

–

Final

Troy@South Alabama

39%
61%

10
6

✗

USA −4.1

–

–

Fri, Oct 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Tulsa@Temple

71%
29%

27
16

✓

TLSA −9.4

–

–

Sat, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 14 games

Final

Kansas@Baylor

33%
67%

23
35

✓

BAY −6.3

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Army

23%
77%

24
48

✓

ARMY −11.1

–

–

Final

Iowa@#1Ohio State

5.2%
95%

10
54

✓

OSU −25.7

–

–

Final

Indiana@Rutgers

42%
58%

17
24

✓

RUTG −2.9

–

–

Final

Syracuse@#7Clemson

24%
76%

21
27

✓

CLEM −11.0

–

–

Final

Houston@Navy

61%
39%

38
20

✓

HOU −5.0

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@SMU

58%
42%

29
27

✓

CIN −3.7

–

–

Final

Akron@Kent State

14%
86%

27
33

✓

KENT −16.8

–

–

Final

Duke@Miami (FL)

31%
69%

45
21

✗

MIA −7.5

–

–

Final

Toledo@Buffalo

68%
32%

27
34

✗

TOL −7.9

–

–

Final

Bowling Green@Central MichiganUpset

23%
77%

34
18

✗

CMU −11.2

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Ball State

35%
65%

20
16

✗

BALL −5.5

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Ohio

53%
47%

17
24

✗

NIU −1.6

–

–

Final

UNLV@#20Notre Dame

5.1%
95%

21
44

✓

ND −25.8

–

–

Afternoon 22 games

Final

West Virginia@Texas Tech

39%
61%

10
48

✓

TTU −4.0

–

–

Final

Rice@Louisiana Tech

63%
37%

42
41

✓

RICE −5.8

–

–

Final

#16Ole Miss@#23LSU

48%
52%

20
45

✓

LSU −0.3

–

–

Final

#15UCLA@#19Oregon

45%
55%

30
45

✓

ORE −1.4

–

–

Final

#6Texas@#11Oklahoma State

53%
47%

34
41

✗

TEX −1.7

–

–

Final

BYU@Liberty

64%
36%

14
41

✗

BYU −6.4

–

–

Final

Purdue@Wisconsin

47%
53%

24
35

✓

WIS −0.7

–

–

Final

Northwestern@#25Maryland

7.9%
92%

24
31

✓

MD −22.2

–

–

Final

Boston College@#21Wake Forest

10.0%
90%

15
43

✓

WAKE −20.1

–

–

Final

Memphis@Tulane

38%
62%

28
38

✓

TULN −4.6

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Miami (OH)

27%
73%

16
10

✗

M-OH −9.3

–

–

Final

Marshall@James Madison

37%
63%

26
12

✗

JMU −4.8

–

–

Final

Georgia Southern@Old Dominion

43%
57%

28
23

✗

ODU −2.3

–

–

Final

FIU@CharlotteUpset

20%
80%

34
15

✗

CLT −13.0

–

–

Final

North Texas@UTSA

23%
77%

27
31

✓

UTSA −11.2

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@Missouri

28%
72%

14
17

✓

MIZ −8.6

–

–

Final

Arizona State@Stanford

37%
63%

14
15

✓

STAN −4.9

–

–

Final

Hawaii@Colorado State

44%
56%

13
17

✓

CSU −1.8

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@UTEP

71%
29%

21
24

✗

FAU −9.3

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Louisiana

27%
73%

18
38

✓

UL −9.4

–

–

Final

Southern Miss@Texas State

54%
46%

20
14

✓

USM −2.2

–

–

Final

Fresno State@New Mexico

79%
21%

41
9

✓

FRES −13.3

–

–

Prime time 6 games

Final

#13Mississippi State@#3Alabama

15%
85%

6
30

✓

ALA −16.0

–

–

Final

Boise State@Air Force

32%
68%

19
14

✗

AF −6.9

–

–

Final

#17Texas A&M@South CarolinaUpset

55%
44%

24
30

✗

TA&M −2.7

–

–

Final

#14Minnesota@#9Penn State

36%
64%

17
45

✓

PSU −5.0

–

–

Final

#18UCF@East CarolinaUpset

71%
29%

13
34

✗

UCF −9.3

–

–

Final

Utah State@Wyoming

41%
59%

14
28

✓

WYO −3.3

–

–

Late night 2 games

Final

Washington@California

72%
28%

28
21

✓

WASH −9.9

–

–

Final

San Diego State@Nevada

55%
45%

23
7

✓

SDSU −2.5

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

UAB@Western Kentucky

47%
53%

17
20

✓

WKU −0.7

–

–

Sun, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 3 games

Final

Colorado@Oregon State

9.3%
91%

9
42

✓

ORST −20.8

–

–

Final

Kansas State@#12TCU

30%
70%

28
38

✓

TCU −7.7

–

–

Final

Pittsburgh@Louisville

40%
60%

10
24

✓

LOU −3.7

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 22 · 12:00 PM ET	UT Martin at #5 Tennessee	Tennessee −55.3	>99%