Week 10 slate, 2022

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 60 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Tue, Nov 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Ball State@Kent State

36%
64%

27
20

✗

KENT −5.4

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Ohio

55%
45%

24
45

✗

BUF −2.3

–

–

Wed, Nov 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Central Michigan@Northern Illinois

40%
60%

35
22

✗

NIU −3.5

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Bowling Green

41%
59%

9
13

✓

BGSU −3.0

–

–

Thu, Nov 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

UTEP@Rice

36%
64%

30
37

✓

RICE −5.0

–

–

Final

Appalachian State@Coastal Carolina

56%
44%

28
35

✗

APP −3.0

–

–

Fri, Nov 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

UMass@UConn

12%
88%

10
27

✓

CONN −18.2

–

–

Final

Duke@Boston College

66%
34%

38
31

✓

DUKE −7.3

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Oregon State@Washington

40%
60%

21
24

✓

WASH −3.3

–

–

Sat, Nov 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 14 games

Final

Air ForcevsArmy

70%
30%

13
7

✓

AF −8.6

–

–

Final

Kentucky@Missouri

56%
44%

21
17

✓

UK −3.1

–

–

Final

Florida@#24Texas A&MUpset

31%
69%

41
24

✗

TA&M −7.3

–

–

Final

Texas Tech@#10TCU

19%
80%

24
34

✓

TCU −13.3

–

–

Final

#19Minnesota@Nebraska

75%
25%

20
13

✓

MINN −11.1

–

–

Final

#1Ohio State@Northwestern

99%
0.8%

21
7

✓

OSU −38.8

–

–

Final

Iowa@Purdue

40%
60%

24
3

✗

PUR −3.5

–

–

Final

Maryland@Wisconsin

42%
58%

10
23

✓

WIS −2.8

–

–

Final

North Carolina@Virginia

69%
31%

31
28

✓

UNC −8.5

–

–

Final

Tulane@Tulsa

69%
31%

27
13

✓

TULN −8.3

–

–

Final

Western Kentucky@Charlotte

81%
19%

59
7

✓

WKU −14.4

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@Virginia Tech

41%
59%

28
27

✗

VT −3.1

–

–

Final

USF@Temple

53%
47%

28
54

✗

USF −1.5

–

–

Final

Marshall@Old Dominion

55%
45%

12
0

✓

MRSH −2.3

–

–

Afternoon 20 games

Final

Baylor@#22OklahomaUpset

40%
60%

38
35

✗

OU −3.4

–

–

Final

Georgia State@Southern Miss

47%
53%

42
14

✗

USM −0.7

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@Louisiana Tech

61%
39%

24
40

✗

MTSU −5.1

–

–

Final

#5Tennessee@#2Georgia

22%
78%

13
27

✓

UGA −11.7

–

–

Final

#12Oregon@Colorado

93%
6.9%

49
10

✓

ORE −24.1

–

–

Final

Washington State@Stanford

46%
54%

52
14

✗

STAN −1.3

–

–

Final

West Virginia@Iowa State

26%
74%

14
31

✓

ISU −9.7

–

–

Final

#18Oklahoma State@KansasUpset

65%
35%

16
37

✗

OKST −6.8

–

–

Final

Michigan State@#20IllinoisUpset

27%
73%

23
15

✗

ILL −9.4

–

–

Final

#7Penn State@Indiana

88%
12%

45
14

✓

PSU −19.4

–

–

Final

Syracuse@Pittsburgh

56%
44%

9
19

✗

SYR −3.0

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Utah State

26%
74%

10
27

✓

USU −10.0

–

–

Final

UCF@Memphis

63%
37%

35
28

✓

UCF −5.7

–

–

Final

UTSA@UAB

45%
55%

44
38

✗

UAB −1.6

–

–

Final

Liberty@#21ArkansasUpset

14%
86%

21
19

✗

ARK −17.0

–

–

Final

Navy@Cincinnati

11%
89%

10
20

✓

CIN −18.8

–

–

Final

South Alabama@Georgia Southern

55%
45%

38
31

✓

USA −2.4

–

–

Final

FIU@North Texas

6.7%
93%

14
52

✓

UNT −23.6

–

–

Final

Troy@Louisiana

49%
51%

23
17

✗

TROY −0.1

–

–

Final

Texas State@Louisiana-Monroe

49%
51%

30
31

✓

PK

–

–

Prime time 12 games

Final

#3Alabama@#15LSUUpset

77%
23%

31
32

✗

ALA −12.2

–

–

Final

#6Texas@#14Kansas State

54%
46%

34
27

✓

TEX −2.1

–

–

Final

BYU@Boise State

34%
66%

31
28

✗

BOIS −5.9

–

–

Final

UNLV@San Diego State

37%
63%

10
14

✓

SDSU −4.8

–

–

Final

Houston@SMU

39%
61%

63
77

✓

SMU −3.8

–

–

Final

Auburn@#17Mississippi State

18%
82%

33
39

✓

MSST −14.2

–

–

Final

South Carolina@Vanderbilt

72%
28%

38
27

✓

SC −9.9

–

–

Final

Arizona@#9Utah

6.7%
93%

20
45

✓

UTAH −23.6

–

–

Final

#8Clemson@#13Notre Dame

51%
49%

14
35

✗

CLEM −0.7

–

–

Final

#4Michigan@Rutgers

95%
5.3%

52
17

✓

MICH −26.3

–

–

Final

James Madison@Louisville

15%
85%

10
34

✓

LOU −16.1

–

–

Final

#25Florida State@Miami (FL)

66%
34%

45
3

✓

FSU −7.2

–

–

Late night 4 games

Final

#16UCLA@Arizona State

75%
25%

50
36

✓

UCLA −11.1

–

–

Final

California@#11USC

10.0%
90%

35
41

✓

USC −20.1

–

–

Final

Colorado State@San Jose State

10%
90%

16
28

✓

SJSU −19.9

–

–

Final

Hawaii@Fresno State

10%
90%

13
55

✓

FRES −20.0

–

–

Sun, Nov 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Wake Forest@NC State

45%
55%

21
30

✓

NCSU −1.3

–

–