Week 6 slate, 2005

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Tue, Oct 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Troy@North Texas

50%
50%

13
10

✗

UNT −0.3

–

–

Wed, Oct 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Miami (OH)@Northern Illinois

50%
50%

27
38

✗

PK

–

–

Thu, Oct 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

NC State@Georgia Tech

29%
71%

17
14

✗

GT −9.5

–

–

Fri, Oct 7

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Florida Atlantic@Louisiana

35%
65%

28
10

✗

UL −6.7

–

–

Sat, Oct 8

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 18 games

Final

Wake Forest@#7Florida State

5.8%
94%

24
41

✓

FSU −26.1

–

–

Final

#16Wisconsin@NorthwesternUpset

71%
29%

48
51

✗

WIS −9.0

–

–

Final

Illinois@Indiana

29%
71%

13
36

✓

IU −9.3

–

–

Final

West Virginia@Rutgers

57%
43%

27
14

✓

WVU −3.0

–

–

Final

Marshall@#3Virginia Tech

1.8%
98%

14
41

✓

VT −34.9

–

–

Final

Kansas@Kansas State

47%
53%

3
12

✓

KSU −1.5

–

–

Final

Mississippi State@#19Florida

6.1%
94%

9
35

✓

FLA −25.7

–

–

Final

Virginia@#24Boston College

33%
67%

17
28

✓

BC −7.3

–

–

Final

#22Minnesota@#14Michigan

35%
65%

23
20

✗

MICH −6.5

–

–

Final

Maryland@Temple

89%
11%

38
7

✓

MD −20.5

–

–

Final

#23Oklahoma@#4Texas

17%
83%

12
45

✓

TEX −16.0

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Army

58%
42%

14
10

✓

CMU −3.4

–

–

Final

Kentucky@South Carolina

16%
84%

16
44

✓

SC −16.6

–

–

Final

Akron@Buffalo

70%
30%

13
7

✓

AKR −8.6

–

–

Final

Air Force@Navy

43%
57%

24
27

✓

NAVY −3.2

–

–

Final

Baylor@Iowa State

36%
64%

23
13

✗

ISU −5.9

–

–

Final

Missouri@Oklahoma State

53%
47%

38
31

✓

MIZ −1.3

–

–

Final

Cincinnati@Pittsburgh

24%
76%

20
38

✓

PITT −11.9

–

–

Afternoon 16 games

Final

San Diego State@UNLV

62%
38%

10
13

✗

SDSU −5.0

–

–

Final

TCU@Wyoming

34%
66%

28
14

✗

WYO −6.8

–

–

Final

San Jose State@Utah State

24%
76%

17
24

✓

USU −12.0

–

–

Final

Arizona@#1USC

0.6%
99%

21
42

✓

USC −41.9

–

–

Final

Duke@#2Miami (FL)

0.7%
99%

7
52

✓

MIA −40.5

–

–

Final

#13Georgia@Tennessee

51%
49%

27
14

✓

UGA −0.1

–

–

Final

#20Texas Tech@Nebraska

62%
38%

34
31

✓

TTU −5.0

–

–

Final

Idaho@Nevada

18%
82%

14
62

✓

NEV −15.4

–

–

Final

North Carolina@#21Louisville

25%
75%

14
69

✓

LOU −11.2

–

–

Final

Iowa@Purdue

33%
67%

34
17

✗

PUR −7.6

–

–

Final

Stanford@Washington StateUpset

21%
79%

24
21

✗

WSU −13.4

–

–

Final

Rice@East Carolina

39%
61%

28
41

✓

ECU −4.9

–

–

Final

Ohio@Bowling Green

14%
86%

14
38

✓

BGSU −18.1

–

–

Final

Memphis@UCF

57%
43%

17
38

✗

MEM −2.8

–

–

Final

Houston@Tulane

50%
50%

35
14

✗

TULN −0.3

–

–

Final

Utah@Colorado State

51%
49%

17
21

✗

UTAH −0.3

–

–

Prime time 9 games

Final

SMU@UABUpset

10.0%
90%

28
27

✗

UAB −21.4

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@Arkansas

6.4%
94%

15
44

✓

ARK −25.3

–

–

Final

Texas A&M@Colorado

35%
65%

20
41

✓

COLO −6.4

–

–

Final

#15LSU@Vanderbilt

77%
23%

34
6

✓

LSU −12.0

–

–

Final

Hawaii@Louisiana Tech

47%
53%

14
46

✓

LT −1.4

–

–

Final

Eastern Michigan@Toledo

16%
84%

3
30

✓

TOL −16.7

–

–

Final

Ball State@Western Michigan

29%
71%

60
57

✗

WMU −9.1

–

–

Final

#5California@#17UCLA

54%
46%

40
47

✗

CAL −1.8

–

–

Final

#9Ohio State@#18Penn State

45%
55%

10
17

✓

PSU −2.0

–

–

Late night 2 games

Final

#25Fresno State@New Mexico State

90%
10%

37
7

✓

FRES −21.1

–

–

Final

Oregon@#11Arizona StateUpset

24%
76%

31
17

✗

ASU −11.8

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Syracuse@UConn

22%
78%

7
26

✓

CONN −12.8

–

–

Sun, Oct 9

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final

BYU@New Mexico

29%
71%

27
24

✗

UNM −9.3

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Southern MissUpset

22%
78%

34
17

✗

USM −13.0

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 8 · 8:05 PM ET	Portland State at Boise State	Boise State −45.0	>99%
Sat, Oct 8 · 2:00 PM ET	The Citadel at Ole Miss	Ole Miss −37.9	99%