Week 10 slate, 2005

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 53 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Tue, Nov 1

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

UAB@Memphis

40%
60%

37
20

✗

MEM −3.6

–

–

Wed, Nov 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

UConn@West Virginia

33%
67%

13
45

✓

WVU −6.5

–

–

Thu, Nov 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Pittsburgh@#10Louisville

14%
86%

20
42

✓

LOU −16.6

–

–

Fri, Nov 4

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Toledo@Ohio

77%
23%

30
21

✓

TOL −12.3

–

–

Sat, Nov 5

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 14 games

Final

#22Minnesota@Indiana

80%
20%

42
21

✓

MINN −13.9

–

–

Final

Iowa@Northwestern

46%
54%

27
28

✓

NU −1.2

–

–

Final

Boston College@North Carolina

64%
36%

14
16

✗

BC −6.2

–

–

Final

USF@Rutgers

45%
55%

45
31

✗

RUTG −1.6

–

–

Final

Michigan State@Purdue

58%
42%

21
28

✗

MSU −3.9

–

–

Final

South Carolina@Arkansas

40%
60%

14
10

✗

ARK −3.5

–

–

Final

#2Texas@Baylor

95%
4.7%

62
0

✓

TEX −27.2

–

–

Final

#6Auburn@Kentucky

95%
4.6%

49
27

✓

AUB −27.4

–

–

Final

Duke@Clemson

3.7%
96%

20
49

✓

CLEM −28.4

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Central Michigan

54%
46%

31
28

✓

NIU −1.9

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan

47%
53%

44
36

✗

EMU −0.9

–

–

Final

Nebraska@Kansas

46%
54%

15
40

✓

KU −1.2

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Georgia Tech

25%
75%

17
30

✓

GT −10.3

–

–

Final

Tulane@Navy

18%
82%

21
49

✓

NAVY −14.0

–

–

Afternoon 23 games

Final

Kansas State@Iowa State

33%
67%

17
45

✓

ISU −6.5

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Miami (OH)

3.1%
97%

13
54

✓

M-OH −29.7

–

–

Final

Akron@Ball State

53%
47%

17
23

✗

AKR −1.8

–

–

Final

Bowling Green@Kent State

72%
28%

24
14

✓

BGSU −9.8

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#8Notre Dame

20%
80%

21
41

✓

ND −12.9

–

–

Final

Wyoming@Utah

36%
64%

13
43

✓

UTAH −5.2

–

–

Final

BYU@UNLV

73%
27%

55
14

✓

BYU −10.4

–

–

Final

Rice@SMU

31%
70%

7
27

✓

SMU −7.7

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@Boise State

4.0%
96%

6
56

✓

BOIS −27.6

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@Utah State

75%
25%

27
17

✓

LT −11.2

–

–

Final

Missouri@#21Colorado

24%
76%

12
41

✓

COLO −10.9

–

–

Final

NC State@#11Florida StateUpset

13%
87%

20
15

✗

FSU −17.5

–

–

Final

Illinois@#5Ohio State

1.2%
99%

2
40

✓

OSU −36.0

–

–

Final

#20Wisconsin@#7Penn State

28%
72%

14
35

✓

PSU −9.0

–

–

Final

Temple@Virginia

1.9%
98%

3
51

✓

UVA −32.9

–

–

Final

#17Alabama@Mississippi State

90%
10%

17
0

✓

ALA −20.9

–

–

Final

Army@Air ForceUpset

23%
77%

27
24

✗

AF −11.3

–

–

Final

#15California@#24Oregon

47%
53%

20
27

✓

ORE −0.7

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@Troy

38%
62%

14
28

✓

TROY −4.2

–

–

Final

FIU@Louisiana-Monroe

27%
73%

31
29

✗

ULM −9.2

–

–

Final

Hawaii@Nevada

48%
52%

28
38

✓

NEV −0.5

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Middle Tennessee

35%
65%

7
45

✓

MTSU −5.6

–

–

Final

#23Arizona State@Washington State

63%
37%

27
24

✓

ASU −5.8

–

–

Prime time 7 games

Final

#16UCLA@ArizonaUpset

81%
19%

14
52

✗

UCLA −14.5

–

–

Final

Oregon State@Washington

62%
38%

18
10

✓

ORST −5.4

–

–

Final

Louisiana@North Texas

50%
50%

31
28

✗

UL −0.4

–

–

Final

Colorado State@TCU

29%
72%

6
33

✓

TCU −8.6

–

–

Final

Texas A&M@#14Texas Tech

20%
80%

17
56

✓

TTU −13.1

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@#18Florida

9.5%
90%

42
49

✓

FLA −20.6

–

–

Final

#4Miami (FL)@#3Virginia Tech

38%
62%

27
7

✗

VT −4.2

–

–

Late night 3 games

Final

San Jose State@#19Fresno State

1.0%
99%

7
45

✓

FRES −37.2

–

–

Final

Tulsa@UTEP

31%
69%

38
41

✓

UTEP −7.6

–

–

Final

Stanford@#1USC

2.0%
98%

21
51

✓

USC −32.5

–

–

Sun, Nov 6

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Houston@UCF

53%
47%

29
31

✗

HOU −1.6

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET	Appalachian State at #9 LSU	LSU −31.2	98%