Week 8 slate, 2007

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 55 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Oct 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#9USF@#22Rutgers

48%
52%

27
30

✓

RUTG −0.1

–

–

Fri, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Northwestern@Eastern Michigan

59%
41%

26
14

✓

NU −4.2

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Utah@TCU

33%
67%

27
20

✗

TCU −6.4

–

–

Sat, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 16 games

Final

Army@Georgia Tech

7.4%
93%

10
34

✓

GT −22.7

–

–

Final

#16Penn State@Indiana

68%
32%

36
31

✓

PSU −7.9

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Temple

63%
37%

17
24

✗

M-OH −5.9

–

–

Final

#13Cincinnati@PittsburghUpset

76%
24%

17
24

✗

CIN −11.7

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Clemson

24%
76%

14
70

✓

CLEM −10.8

–

–

Final

Iowa@Purdue

28%
72%

6
31

✓

PUR −8.8

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Wisconsin

11%
89%

3
44

✓

WIS −19.1

–

–

Final

#2Oklahoma@Iowa State

98%
2.3%

17
7

✓

OU −32.4

–

–

Final

#17Texas@Baylor

84%
16%

31
10

✓

TEX −16.0

–

–

Final

Tennessee@Alabama

50%
50%

17
41

✓

TENN −0.4

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@South CarolinaUpset

16%
84%

17
6

✗

SC −15.6

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Navy

44%
56%

44
24

✗

NAVY −2.1

–

–

Final

Arkansas@Ole Miss

63%
37%

44
8

✓

ARK −5.9

–

–

Final

Wyoming@Air Force

31%
69%

12
20

✓

AF −7.3

–

–

Final

Ball State@Western Michigan

55%
45%

27
23

✓

BALL −2.5

–

–

Final

Texas A&M@Nebraska

43%
57%

36
14

✗

NEB −2.2

–

–

Afternoon 18 games

Final

Memphis@Rice

46%
54%

38
35

✗

RICE −1.1

–

–

Final

Nevada@Utah State

65%
35%

31
28

✓

NEV −6.7

–

–

Final

#10California@UCLAUpset

55%
45%

21
30

✗

CAL −2.6

–

–

Final

Miami (FL)@Florida State

31%
69%

37
29

✗

FSU −7.4

–

–

Final

#14USC@Notre Dame

77%
23%

38
0

✓

USC −12.1

–

–

Final

#6Florida@#25Kentucky

60%
40%

45
37

✓

FLA −4.5

–

–

Final

#11Texas Tech@#18Missouri

44%
56%

10
41

✓

MIZ −1.7

–

–

Final

Michigan State@#3Ohio State

11%
89%

17
24

✓

OSU −19.4

–

–

Final

Mississippi State@#4West Virginia

5.3%
95%

13
38

✓

WVU −25.6

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Middle Tennessee

36%
64%

7
24

✓

MTSU −5.3

–

–

Final

North Texas@Troy

7.1%
93%

7
45

✓

TROY −23.1

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Syracuse

46%
54%

12
20

✓

SYR −1.1

–

–

Final

Tulsa@UCF

51%
49%

23
44

✗

TLSA −0.9

–

–

Final

Bowling Green@Kent State

39%
61%

31
20

✗

KENT −4.0

–

–

Final

NC State@East CarolinaUpset

23%
77%

34
20

✗

ECU −11.2

–

–

Final

San Jose State@Fresno State

18%
82%

0
30

✓

FRES −14.4

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@Louisiana

64%
36%

39
32

✓

FAU −6.2

–

–

Final

#7Kansas@Colorado

68%
32%

19
14

✓

KU −8.1

–

–

Prime time 10 games

Final

Houston@UAB

65%
35%

49
10

✓

HOU −6.6

–

–

Final

Boise State@Louisiana Tech

84%
16%

45
31

✓

BOIS −16.6

–

–

Final

FIU@Louisiana-Monroe

19%
81%

14
28

✓

ULM −13.4

–

–

Final

Ohio@Toledo

54%
46%

40
43

✗

OHIO −2.0

–

–

Final

#20Kansas State@Oklahoma StateUpset

45%
55%

39
41

✓

OKST −1.4

–

–

Final

Stanford@Arizona

26%
74%

21
20

✗

ARIZ −9.9

–

–

Final

#5Oregon@Washington

75%
25%

55
34

✓

ORE −11.4

–

–

Final

New Mexico@San Diego State

70%
30%

20
17

✓

UNM −9.0

–

–

Final

#15Auburn@#1LSU

18%
82%

24
30

✓

LSU −14.1

–

–

Final

Colorado State@UNLV

37%
63%

48
23

✗

UNLV −4.7

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Louisville@UConn

40%
60%

17
21

✓

CONN −3.7

–

–

Sun, Oct 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 4 games

Final

Virginia@Maryland

41%
59%

18
17

✗

MD −3.2

–

–

Final

Idaho@New Mexico State

15%
85%

31
45

✓

NMSU −16.3

–

–

Final

#24Michigan@Illinois

57%
42%

27
17

✓

MICH −3.5

–

–

Final

Tulane@SMU

30%
70%

41
34

✗

SMU −7.9

–

–

Mon, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Southern Miss@Marshall

59%
41%

33
24

✓

USM −4.2

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 20 · 12:00 PM ET	North Dakota State vs Minnesota	North Dakota State −6.7	65%
Sat, Oct 20 · 5:30 PM ET	Eastern Washington at #21 BYU	BYU −45.7	>99%