Week 13 slate, 2010
The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 54 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.
Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the
favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood
that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.
Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1
Chaos 78
Wilder than 78% of weeks in the archive.
20 upsets against 15.7 expected
- Biggest shockMinnesota over Iowa14% chance · won 27-24
- Runner-upUSF over Miami (FL)20% chance · won 23-20
- Runner-upNevada over Boise State23% chance · won 34-31
No games match.
Wed, Nov 24
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 1 game
Final
70%
30%
3
23
✗
TEM −8.8
–
–
Thu, Nov 25
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Prime time 1 game
Final
57%
43%
24
17
✓
TA&M −3.1
–
–
Fri, Nov 26
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Early 9 games
Final
49%
51%
40
13
✗
LOU −0.2
–
–
Final
71%
29%
6
28
✗
OHIO −9.3
–
–
Final
40%
60%
35
10
✗
PITT −3.7
–
–
Final
95%
5.1%
71
3
✓
NIU −26.6
–
–
Final
43%
57%
45
38
✗
ECU −2.2
–
–
Final
58%
42%
41
7
✓
WMU −3.9
–
–
Final
57%
42%
14
22
✗
BUF −3.5
–
–
Final
42%
58%
31
42
✓
TOL −2.8
–
–
Final
28%
72%
28
27
✗
ALA −9.0
–
–
Afternoon 3 games
Final
29%
71%
34
55
✓
ASU −8.2
–
–
Final
10%
90%
17
45
✓
NEB −19.8
–
–
Final
41%
59%
50
56
✓
TLSA −3.1
–
–
Late night 1 game
Final
77%
23%
31
34
✗
BOIS −12.5
–
–
Sat, Nov 27
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Early 11 games
Final
43%
57%
17
38
✓
CONN −2.4
–
–
Final
45%
55%
16
7
✗
SYR −1.5
–
–
Final
9.0%
91%
7
37
✓
OSU −21.0
–
–
Final
50%
50%
28
22
✓
MSU −0.7
–
–
Final
96%
4.3%
37
17
✓
UCF −27.9
–
–
Final
4.5%
96%
7
37
✓
VT −26.9
–
–
Final
26%
74%
23
38
✓
MRSH −9.7
–
–
Final
20%
80%
23
20
✗
MIA −13.2
–
–
Final
40%
60%
34
31
✗
PUR −3.8
–
–
Final
43%
57%
14
24
✓
TENN −2.3
–
–
Final
6.8%
93%
7
35
✓
MIZ −23.5
–
–
Afternoon 16 games
Final
95%
5.2%
59
24
✓
HAW −26.5
–
–
Final
38%
62%
23
31
✓
ARK −4.5
–
–
Final
23%
77%
16
13
✗
CAL −11.1
–
–
Final
51%
49%
7
31
✗
FLA −0.9
–
–
Final
56%
44%
31
38
✗
NCSU −3.0
–
–
Final
86%
14%
24
27
✗
IOWA −17.4
–
–
Final
73%
27%
24
19
✓
UNC −10.3
–
–
Final
55%
45%
23
28
✗
UAB −2.7
–
–
Final
19%
81%
16
17
✓
UTAH −13.5
–
–
Final
11%
89%
23
70
✓
WIS −19.3
–
–
Final
39%
61%
24
31
✓
FIU −4.0
–
–
Final
38%
62%
14
38
✓
MTSU −4.2
–
–
Final
34%
66%
23
22
✗
ULM −6.2
–
–
Final
17%
83%
14
28
✓
TROY −14.7
–
–
Final
>99%
0.3%
66
17
✓
TCU −44.7
–
–
Final
84%
16%
49
41
✓
KSU −16.5
–
–
Prime time 8 games
Final
16%
84%
0
38
✓
STAN −15.3
–
–
Final
41%
59%
34
13
✗
VAN −3.3
–
–
Final
26%
74%
34
42
✓
UGA −9.8
–
–
Final
10%
90%
14
48
✓
SDSU −19.7
–
–
Final
77%
23%
45
38
✓
LT −12.4
–
–
Final
39%
61%
20
16
✗
USC −4.0
–
–
Final
44%
56%
47
41
✗
OKST −2.0
–
–
Final
40%
60%
20
35
✓
TTU −3.6
–
–
Late night 1 game
Final
24%
76%
20
23
✓
FRES −10.9
–
–
Time TBD 1 game
Final
15%
85%
29
48
✓
ORE −16.2
–
–
Sun, Nov 28
TimeGamePre
ScoreLive
ModelMarketEdge
Time TBD 2 games
Final
59%
41%
31
23
✓
MSST −4.1
–
–
Final
51%
49%
29
7
✓
SC −1.0
–
–