Week 5 slate, 2010

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Thu, Sep 30

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Texas A&M@#14Oklahoma State

26%
74%

35
38

✓

OKST −10.6

–

–

Sat, Oct 2

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 15 games

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@#18Auburn

4.2%
96%

3
52

✓

AUB −28.7

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@UConn

38%
62%

21
40

✓

CONN −5.0

–

–

Final

Northwestern@Minnesota

62%
38%

29
28

✓

NU −5.0

–

–

Final

#8Miami (FL)@#22Clemson

56%
44%

30
21

✓

MIA −2.6

–

–

Final

Kansas@Baylor

35%
65%

7
55

✓

BAY −6.6

–

–

Final

Florida State@Virginia

59%
41%

34
14

✓

FSU −3.7

–

–

Final

Temple@Army

51%
49%

42
35

✓

TEM −0.3

–

–

Final

#4Ohio State@Illinois

86%
14%

24
13

✓

OSU −18.0

–

–

Final

Ohio@Eastern Michigan

69%
31%

30
17

✓

OHIO −8.0

–

–

Final

Kentucky@Ole Miss

45%
55%

35
42

✓

MISS −2.1

–

–

Final

Kent State@Miami (OH)

39%
61%

21
27

✓

M-OH −4.8

–

–

Final

#5TCU@Colorado State

96%
3.9%

27
0

✓

TCU −29.1

–

–

Final

Tulane@RutgersUpset

10%
90%

17
14

✗

RUTG −21.3

–

–

Final

Idaho@Western Michigan

42%
58%

33
13

✗

WMU −3.4

–

–

Final

Navy@Air Force

34%
66%

6
14

✓

AF −6.9

–

–

Afternoon 14 games

Final

Washington State@UCLA

3.4%
97%

28
42

✓

UCLA −30.4

–

–

Final

#24Michigan@Indiana

68%
32%

42
35

✓

MICH −7.5

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#9LSU

12%
88%

14
16

✓

LSU −19.5

–

–

Final

Wisconsin@Michigan State

46%
54%

24
34

✓

MSU −1.7

–

–

Final

#11Virginia Tech@NC State

60%
40%

41
30

✓

VT −3.9

–

–

Final

East Carolina@North Carolina

35%
65%

17
42

✓

UNC −6.4

–

–

Final

Buffalo@Bowling Green

28%
72%

28
26

✗

BGSU −10.0

–

–

Final

#15Texasvs#13Oklahoma

49%
51%

20
28

✓

OU −0.7

–

–

Final

FIU@Pittsburgh

16%
84%

17
44

✓

PITT −16.9

–

–

Final

Ball State@Central MichiganUpset

7.1%
93%

31
17

✗

CMU −24.4

–

–

Final

Duke@Maryland

21%
79%

16
21

✓

MD −13.6

–

–

Final

UTEP@New Mexico

78%
22%

38
20

✓

UTEP −12.9

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Akron

73%
27%

50
14

✓

NIU −10.3

–

–

Final

Arizona State@Oregon State

32%
68%

28
31

✓

ORST −7.8

–

–

Prime time 10 games

Final

Georgia@Colorado

58%
42%

27
29

✗

UGA −3.1

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@USF

18%
82%

3
31

✓

USF −15.3

–

–

Final

#23Texas Tech@Iowa StateUpset

66%
34%

38
52

✗

TTU −6.9

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@Wake Forest

59%
41%

24
20

✓

GT −3.7

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Memphis

64%
36%

48
7

✓

TLSA −6.0

–

–

Final

SMU@Rice

71%
29%

42
31

✓

SMU −9.0

–

–

Final

Louisville@Arkansas State

43%
57%

34
24

✗

ARST −3.2

–

–

Final

Wyoming@Toledo

26%
74%

20
15

✗

TOL −10.8

–

–

Final

Louisiana@North Texas

39%
61%

28
27

✗

UNT −4.6

–

–

Final

Penn State@#17Iowa

36%
64%

3
24

✓

IOWA −6.1

–

–

Late night 2 games

Final

#19Nevada@UNLV

82%
18%

44
26

✓

NEV −15.4

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@Hawaii

36%
64%

21
41

✓

HAW −6.2

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

BYU@Utah State

64%
36%

16
31

✗

BYU −6.0

–

–

Sun, Oct 3

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 6 games

Final

Washington@#20USCUpset

19%
82%

32
31

✗

USC −15.0

–

–

Final

Notre Dame@Boston College

49%
51%

31
13

✗

BC −0.6

–

–

Final

#6Boise State@New Mexico State

98%
2.0%

59
0

✓

BOIS −33.8

–

–

Final

#2Florida@#1Alabama

41%
59%

6
31

✓

ALA −3.8

–

–

Final

#3Stanford@#7Oregon

50%
50%

31
52

✗

PK

–

–

Final

Marshall@Southern Miss

29%
71%

16
41

✓

USM −9.4

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sun, Oct 3 · TBD	UC Davis at San Jose State	San Jose State −18.9	87%
Sat, Oct 2 · 10:00 PM ET	Cal Poly at Fresno State	Fresno State −32.2	97%
Sat, Oct 2 · 12:00 PM ET	Alcorn State at Mississippi State	Mississippi State −45.9	>99%