Week 8 slate, 2011

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 52 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Wed, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

FIU@Arkansas State

42%
58%

16
34

✓

ARST −2.8

–

–

Thu, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

UCLA@Arizona

39%
61%

12
48

✓

ARIZ −4.1

–

–

Fri, Oct 21

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 1 game

Final

UCF@UABUpset

82%
18%

24
26

✗

UCF −14.7

–

–

Sat, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 12 games

Final

Cincinnati@USF

43%
57%

37
34

✗

USF −2.5

–

–

Final

#8Oklahoma State@Missouri

67%
33%

45
24

✓

OKST −7.4

–

–

Final

North Carolina@#15Clemson

27%
73%

38
59

✓

CLEM −9.1

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Buffalo

78%
22%

31
30

✓

NIU −13.0

–

–

Final

Indiana@Iowa

12%
88%

24
45

✓

IOWA −18.6

–

–

Final

Kansas State@Kansas

79%
21%

59
21

✓

KSU −13.4

–

–

Final

Illinois@Purdue

66%
34%

14
21

✗

ILL −7.2

–

–

Final

#10Arkansas@Ole Miss

84%
16%

29
24

✓

ARK −16.6

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@Duke

56%
44%

24
23

✓

WAKE −2.8

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Eastern Michigan

74%
26%

10
14

✗

WMU −10.9

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Ball State

32%
68%

27
31

✓

BALL −6.8

–

–

Final

New Mexico@#16TCU

0.8%
99%

0
69

✓

TCU −38.8

–

–

Afternoon 18 games

Final

Boston College@#11Virginia Tech

7.9%
92%

14
30

✓

VT −22.2

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@Utah State

35%
65%

24
17

✗

USU −5.7

–

–

Final

#6Oregon@Colorado

95%
4.6%

45
2

✓

ORE −27.3

–

–

Final

Maryland@#22Florida State

18%
82%

16
41

✓

FSU −14.3

–

–

Final

#9Texas A&M@Iowa State

90%
9.9%

33
17

✓

TA&M −21.0

–

–

Final

Air Force@#2Boise State

2.5%
98%

26
37

✓

BOIS −31.0

–

–

Final

Auburn@#5LSU

12%
88%

10
45

✓

LSU −18.7

–

–

Final

Nebraska@Minnesota

85%
15%

41
14

✓

NEB −17.2

–

–

Final

Temple@Bowling GreenUpset

78%
22%

10
13

✗

TEM −12.8

–

–

Final

NC State@Virginia

49%
51%

28
14

✗

NCSU −0.1

–

–

Final

Ohio@Akron

82%
18%

37
20

✓

OHIO −15.3

–

–

Final

Georgia Tech@#21Miami (FL)

33%
67%

7
24

✓

MIA −6.5

–

–

Final

East Carolina@NavyUpset

19%
81%

38
35

✗

NAVY −13.8

–

–

Final

Memphis@TulaneUpset

24%
76%

33
17

✗

TULN −10.6

–

–

Final

Louisiana@Western Kentucky

66%
34%

23
42

✗

UL −7.2

–

–

Final

Fresno State@Nevada

16%
84%

38
45

✓

NEV −15.7

–

–

Final

Marshall@#24Houston

9.0%
91%

28
63

✓

HOU −21.1

–

–

Final

Louisiana-Monroe@North Texas

47%
53%

21
38

✓

UNT −0.6

–

–

Prime time 7 games

Final

Utah@California

49%
51%

10
34

✓

UTAH −0.2

–

–

Final

Penn State@Northwestern

64%
36%

34
24

✓

PSU −6.2

–

–

Final

Army@Vanderbilt

29%
71%

21
44

✓

VAN −8.3

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Rice

72%
28%

38
20

✓

TLSA −9.6

–

–

Final

Miami (OH)@Toledo

12%
88%

28
49

✓

TOL −18.4

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#1Alabama

4.9%
95%

6
37

✓

ALA −26.2

–

–

Final

USC@#12Notre DameUpset

26%
74%

31
17

✗

ND −10.0

–

–

Late night 1 game

Final

Oregon State@Washington State

42%
58%

44
21

✗

WSU −2.7

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

Rutgers@Louisville

66%
34%

14
16

✗

RUTG −6.9

–

–

Final

#19West Virginia@SyracuseUpset

78%
22%

23
49

✗

WVU −12.6

–

–

Sun, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

New Mexico State@Hawaii

12%
88%

34
45

✓

HAW −18.4

–

–

Time TBD 6 games

Final

Washington@#3Stanford

6.0%
94%

21
65

✓

STAN −24.5

–

–

Final

#7Wisconsin@#25Michigan State

70%
30%

31
37

✗

WIS −9.0

–

–

Final

Texas Tech@#4OklahomaUpset

8.9%
91%

41
38

✗

OU −21.1

–

–

Final

Middle Tennessee@Florida Atlantic

55%
44%

38
14

✓

MTSU −2.7

–

–

Final

SMU@Southern Miss

39%
61%

3
27

✓

USM −4.1

–

–

Final

Colorado State@UTEP

22%
78%

17
31

✓

UTEP −11.6

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 22 · 12:00 PM ET	Jacksonville State at Kentucky	Jacksonville State −0.2	49%
Sat, Oct 22 · 3:00 PM ET	Idaho State at BYU	BYU −48.4	>99%