Week 10 slate, 2003

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 56 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 15 · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 9 · Week 8 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2

No games match.

Wed, Oct 22

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

#6Virginia Tech@West VirginiaUpset

75%
25%

7
28

✗

VT −11.4

–

–

Thu, Oct 23

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Maryland@Georgia Tech

50%
50%

3
7

✓

MD −0.5

–

–

Sat, Oct 25

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 21 games

Final

Akron@UConn

31%
69%

37
38

✓

CONN −7.6

–

–

Final

Wisconsin@Northwestern

74%
26%

7
16

✗

WIS −10.5

–

–

Final

#22Ohio State@Indiana

93%
6.9%

35
6

✓

OSU −24.1

–

–

Final

Notre Dame@Boston College

29%
71%

25
27

✓

BC −8.2

–

–

Final

Syracuse@Pittsburgh

34%
66%

14
34

✓

PITT −6.2

–

–

Final

North Carolina@Clemson

18%
82%

28
36

✓

CLEM −14.4

–

–

Final

#15Minnesota@Illinois

89%
11%

36
10

✓

MINN −20.1

–

–

Final

Penn State@#10Iowa

20%
80%

14
26

✓

IOWA −13.0

–

–

Final

Mississippi State@Kentucky

21%
79%

17
42

✓

UK −12.6

–

–

Final

#21Texas Tech@MissouriUpset

65%
35%

31
62

✗

TTU −6.7

–

–

Final

Iowa State@#17Nebraska

8.2%
92%

0
28

✓

NEB −21.8

–

–

Final

UAB@#4Georgia

3.6%
96%

13
16

✓

UGA −28.4

–

–

Final

NC State@Duke

90%
10%

28
21

✓

NCSU −20.6

–

–

Final

Rutgers@Temple

44%
56%

30
14

✗

TEM −1.9

–

–

Final

Ohio@Buffalo

74%
26%

17
26

✗

OHIO −10.7

–

–

Final

Louisville@East Carolina

90%
10%

36
20

✓

LOU −20.9

–

–

Final

Toledo@Ball StateUpset

79%
21%

14
38

✗

TOL −13.1

–

–

Final

#13Miami (OH)@Kent State

94%
5.5%

38
30

✓

M-OH −26.0

–

–

Final

Kansas@#12Kansas State

13%
87%

6
42

✓

KSU −17.5

–

–

Final

Memphis@Tulane

54%
46%

41
9

✓

MEM −2.3

–

–

Final

Marshall@Western Michigan

64%
36%

41
21

✓

MRSH −6.0

–

–

Afternoon 19 games

Final

SMU@Tulsa

13%
87%

16
35

✓

TLSA −17.5

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Utah

31%
69%

47
35

✗

UTAH −7.3

–

–

Final

Troy@#25Virginia

12%
88%

0
24

✓

UVA −18.3

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Utah State

33%
67%

0
49

✓

USU −6.7

–

–

Final

Army@Cincinnati

3.2%
97%

29
33

✓

CIN −29.4

–

–

Final

USF@Southern Miss

51%
49%

6
27

✗

USF −1.0

–

–

Final

San Jose State@#23Boise State

5.5%
94%

14
77

✓

BOIS −25.2

–

–

Final

Arizona@California

9.3%
91%

14
42

✓

CAL −20.8

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@#5Florida State

13%
87%

24
48

✓

FSU −17.2

–

–

Final

#16Purdue@#7Michigan

35%
65%

3
31

✓

MICH −5.6

–

–

Final

#19Oklahoma State@Texas A&M

71%
29%

38
10

✓

OKST −9.4

–

–

Final

#3USC@Washington

87%
13%

43
23

✓

USC −18.2

–

–

Final

Tennessee@#24AlabamaUpset

40%
60%

51
43

✗

ALA −3.5

–

–

Final

Stanford@Oregon

38%
62%

0
35

✓

ORE −4.3

–

–

Final

Northern Illinois@Bowling Green

36%
64%

18
34

✓

BGSU −5.1

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@UCF

28%
72%

13
31

✓

UCF −8.6

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@Nevada

45%
55%

42
34

✗

NEV −1.5

–

–

Final

Idaho@Louisiana

31%
70%

20
31

✓

UL −7.7

–

–

Final

Oregon State@#11Washington State

25%
75%

30
36

✓

WSU −10.1

–

–

Prime time 8 games

Final

#1Oklahoma@Colorado

96%
4.2%

34
20

✓

OU −28.1

–

–

Final

#9Texas@Baylor

96%
4.5%

56
0

✓

TEX −27.6

–

–

Final

Rice@Fresno State

13%
87%

28
31

✓

FRES −17.4

–

–

Final

North Texas@Middle Tennessee

58%
42%

33
28

✓

UNT −3.6

–

–

Final

BYU@UNLV

34%
66%

27
20

✗

UNLV −5.9

–

–

Final

Vanderbilt@South Carolina

13%
87%

24
35

✓

SC −17.3

–

–

Final

#18Arkansas@Ole MissUpset

55%
45%

7
19

✗

ARK −2.4

–

–

Final

#20Auburn@#8LSU

35%
65%

7
31

✓

LSU −5.8

–

–

Late night 2 games

Final

Wyoming@San Diego State

43%
57%

20
25

✓

SDSU −2.2

–

–

Final

Arizona State@UCLA

31%
69%

13
20

✓

UCLA −7.6

–

–

Sun, Oct 26

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 1 game

Final

UTEP@Hawaii

3.6%
96%

15
31

✓

HAW −28.5

–

–

Time TBD 2 games

Final

TCU@Houston

70%
30%

62
55

✓

TCU −8.8

–

–

Final

New Mexico State@Louisiana-Monroe

74%
26%

21
14

✓

NMSU −10.5

–

–

Against FCS opponents

When	Game	Model	Win
Sat, Oct 25 · 1:30 PM ET	Delaware at Navy	Navy −13.3	81%