Week 8 slate, 2024

The slate as it stood before the Sunday refresh, with final scores. 59 games with an FBS team; the model’s line and win chance for each were set before kickoff.

Pre is the model’s win chance before kickoff. Model is the favourite and the margin the ratings predict, reconstructed walk-forward from ratings as they stood that week - never from anything the model learned afterward.

Slates: This week · Bowls · Week 14 · Week 13 · Week 12 · Week 11 · Week 10 · Week 9 · Week 7 · Week 6 · Week 5 · Week 4 · Week 3 · Week 2 · Week 1

No games match.

Tue, Oct 15

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Troy@South Alabama

34%
66%

9
25

✓

USA −6.2

–

–

Final

Louisiana Tech@New Mexico State

68%
32%

30
33

✗

LT −8.0

–

–

Wed, Oct 16

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Western Kentucky@Sam Houston

52%
48%

31
14

✓

WKU −1.4

–

–

Final

FIU@UTEP

64%
36%

21
30

✗

FIU −6.0

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

Kennesaw State@Middle Tennessee

32%
68%

5
14

✓

MTSU −7.1

–

–

Thu, Oct 17

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 2 games

Final

Georgia State@Marshall

26%
74%

20
35

✓

MRSH −9.7

–

–

Final

Boston College@Virginia Tech

30%
70%

21
42

✓

VT −8.1

–

–

Fri, Oct 18

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Prime time 1 game

Final

Florida State@Duke

44%
56%

16
23

✓

DUKE −1.8

–

–

Late night 2 games

Final

Oklahoma State@#24BYU

27%
73%

35
38

✓

BYU −9.5

–

–

Final

Fresno State@Nevada

60%
40%

24
21

✓

FRES −4.4

–

–

Sat, Oct 19

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Early 13 games

Final

Auburn@#19Missouri

30%
70%

17
21

✓

MIZ −7.8

–

–

Final

Nebraska@#23Indiana

36%
64%

7
56

✓

IU −5.2

–

–

Final

WisconsinvsNorthwestern

69%
31%

23
3

✓

WIS −8.2

–

–

Final

UCLA@Rutgers

40%
60%

35
32

✗

RUTG −3.7

–

–

Final

Wake Forest@UConn

38%
62%

23
20

✗

CONN −4.3

–

–

Final

Virginia@#9Clemson

7.5%
92%

31
48

✓

CLEM −22.7

–

–

Final

#14Miami (FL)@#22Louisville

53%
47%

52
45

✓

MIA −1.5

–

–

Final

Arizona State@Cincinnati

50%
50%

14
24

✗

ASU −0.6

–

–

Final

Louisiana@Coastal Carolina

50%
50%

34
24

✗

UL −0.4

–

–

Final

East Carolina@Army

7.8%
92%

28
45

✓

ARMY −22.3

–

–

Final

South Carolina@#17OklahomaUpset

32%
68%

35
9

✗

OU −6.9

–

–

Final

Central Michigan@Eastern Michigan

33%
67%

34
38

✓

EMU −6.5

–

–

Final

Tulsa@Temple

43%
57%

10
20

✓

TEM −2.4

–

–

Afternoon 22 games

Final

#3Alabama@#10Tennessee

63%
37%

17
24

✗

ALA −5.8

–

–

Final

#18Michigan@IllinoisUpset

68%
32%

7
21

✗

MICH −8.1

–

–

Final

#5Notre DamevsGeorgia Tech

82%
18%

31
13

✓

ND −14.7

–

–

Final

NC State@CaliforniaUpset

21%
79%

24
23

✗

CAL −12.4

–

–

Final

HoustonvsKansas

33%
67%

14
42

✓

KU −6.6

–

–

Final

Hawaii@Washington State

8.9%
91%

10
42

✓

WSU −21.1

–

–

Final

Texas State@Old Dominion

68%
32%

14
24

✗

TXST −7.7

–

–

Final

Ohio@Miami (OH)

29%
71%

20
30

✓

M-OH −8.5

–

–

Final

Kent State@Bowling Green

6.8%
93%

6
27

✓

BGSU −23.4

–

–

Final

Western Michigan@Buffalo

51%
49%

48
41

✓

WMU −0.8

–

–

Final

Toledo@Northern Illinois

49%
51%

13
6

✗

TOL −0.2

–

–

Final

UAB@USF

27%
73%

25
35

✓

USF −9.4

–

–

Final

Charlotte@Navy

12%
88%

17
51

✓

NAVY −18.3

–

–

Final

Florida Atlantic@UTSA

38%
62%

24
38

✓

UTSA −4.3

–

–

Final

Rice@Tulane

7.4%
93%

10
24

✓

TULN −22.7

–

–

Final

#13USC@MarylandUpset

74%
26%

28
29

✗

USC −10.6

–

–

Final

Colorado@Arizona

51%
49%

34
7

✓

COLO −0.9

–

–

Final

Baylor@Texas Tech

31%
68%

59
35

✗

TTU −7.2

–

–

Final

New Mexico@Utah State

41%
59%

50
45

✗

USU −3.1

–

–

Final

Wyoming@San Jose State

13%
87%

14
24

✓

SJSU −17.8

–

–

Final

James Madison@Georgia Southern

70%
30%

14
28

✗

JMU −8.8

–

–

Final

#11Texas A&M@Mississippi State

84%
16%

34
24

✓

TA&M −16.2

–

–

Prime time 9 games

Final

#12LSU@Arkansas

64%
36%

34
10

✓

LSU −6.1

–

–

Final

Ball State@Vanderbilt

6.0%
94%

14
24

✓

VAN −24.5

–

–

Final

Arkansas State@Southern Miss

67%
33%

44
28

✓

ARST −7.3

–

–

Final

#4Georgia@#1Texas

28%
72%

30
15

✗

TEX −8.9

–

–

Final

#20Iowa@Michigan StateUpset

75%
25%

20
32

✗

IOWA −11.2

–

–

Final

UCF@#16Iowa State

17%
83%

35
38

✓

ISU −14.6

–

–

Final

#21Kansas State@West Virginia

53%
47%

45
18

✓

KSU −1.8

–

–

Final

North Texas@Memphis

17%
83%

44
52

✓

MEM −14.7

–

–

Final

Kentucky@Florida

41%
59%

20
48

✓

FLA −3.0

–

–

Late night 2 games

Final

UNLV@Oregon State

61%
39%

33
25

✓

UNLV −5.0

–

–

Final

TCU@Utah

39%
61%

13
7

✗

UTAH −3.9

–

–

Time TBD 1 game

Final

#7Oregon@Purdue

95%
4.6%

35
0

✓

ORE −27.4

–

–

Sun, Oct 20

TimeGamePre ScoreLive ModelMarketEdge

Time TBD 2 games

Final

#15SMU@Stanford

85%
15%

40
10

✓

SMU −17.2

–

–

Final

Colorado State@Air Force

59%
41%

21
13

✓

CSU −4.1

–

–